{"id":1947,"date":"2020-05-15T12:27:06","date_gmt":"2020-05-15T12:27:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/?p=1947"},"modified":"2020-05-16T13:42:36","modified_gmt":"2020-05-16T13:42:36","slug":"when-will-coronavirus-end-in-pakistan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/when-will-coronavirus-end-in-pakistan\/","title":{"rendered":"When Will Coronavirus End In Pakistan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Historians say, that an infectious outbreak can conclude in more ways than one. But for whom does it end, and who gets to decide? When will Coronavirus End in Pakistan?<\/p>\n<p>Also Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/how-to-make-cloth-masks-complete-procedure\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Making Cloth Masks At Home<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-expand=\"600\" class=\"lazyload size-full wp-image-1950 aligncenter\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 1200 800'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/covid-19_coronavirus_morphology_network_of_cells_by_blackjack3d_gettyimages-1214333918_2400x1600-100837131-large.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>A Little History Lesson | The Pandemic Timeline Theory<\/h2>\n<p>As the human history has defined <strong>age<\/strong> and <strong>obscurity<\/strong> in numerous ways, pandemics typically have two types of endings:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Medical: It occurs when the <strong>incidence <\/strong>and <strong>death<\/strong> rates plummet<\/li>\n<li>Social: It occurs when the epidemic of fear about a disease wanes (people fear less)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>When my thoughts dawned upon answering this question about \u2018When will this virus go away?\u2019, I tried to think in a way that resonates with a reader\u2019s understanding. This question begs a synonymous interpretation: <strong>The Ultimate Social Ending<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-expand=\"600\" class=\"lazyload size-full wp-image-1949 aligncenter\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 1920 1080'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/coronavirus-and-understanding-its-impact-on-supply-chains.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In general theory, an end can occur <strong>not<\/strong> because a disease has been vanquished, but <strong>because people grow tired of panic mode<\/strong> and eventually learn to live with it.<\/p>\n<p>As we have seen in the debate about opening the economy \u2013 and various lockdown measures in Pakistan and other countries \u2013 many questions about the <em>so-called <\/em><strong>end<\/strong> will be determined not by medical and public health data, but by <strong>socio-political <\/strong>processes.<\/p>\n<p>As history has taught us \u2013 in battle or plague \u2013 one thing never changes, and the forerunners of reforms in our society have decided what that one thing actually means:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Endings<\/strong> are a tricky business, and it all falls down on mankind to make sure that nothing bad comes out of them.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-expand=\"600\" class=\"lazyload size-full wp-image-1954 aligncenter\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 2500 1600'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Wired_CovidSpring_31.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1600\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Looking back, we have a weak narrative. So, where do we go when urgency calls for immediate action?<\/p>\n<h3>Let\u2019s Dab In Statistics | When Will Coronavirus End<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-expand=\"600\" class=\"lazyload wp-image-1951 aligncenter\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 634 356'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/images-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"634\" height=\"356\" \/><\/p>\n<p>For a background, data-driven innovation lab of <strong>Singapore University of Technology and Design<\/strong> carried out analysis of all the pandemic-hit countries; Pakistan included.<\/p>\n<p>A model named <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=8&amp;cad=rja&amp;uact=8&amp;ved=2ahUKEwiB4LfP3a7pAhXQyIUKHdtVD8AQFjAHegQIERAF&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fmathworld.wolfram.com%2FSIRModel.html&amp;usg=AOvVaw3YAj5A8d7a_-JMKGv6il6a\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered<\/a>) was being used to estimate the life cycle of pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>Hundred percent elimination will be possible by December 2020, according to this study. But like fatal diseases that won\u2019t disappear without tasting death, this model might prove to be a little off-putting. The SIR-model relies on mathematical tools that differentiate a set of derivatives on the basis of pre-determined criteria.<\/p>\n<p>If only it were all so simple.<\/p>\n<h5>A Sound Theory<\/h5>\n<p>People, once recovered, aren\u2019t prone to re-infection and will be issued an \u201c<strong>immunity passport<\/strong>\u201d or \u201c<strong>risk-free certificate<\/strong>\u201d for going back to work. This has been deliberated by some governments where the virus hasn&#8217;t left an indelible mark.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-expand=\"600\" class=\"lazyload alignnone size-full wp-image-1948\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 750 253'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/coronavirus-4817450_12801.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"253\" \/><br \/>\nAlso, the study has not taken into account the preventive behavior of population required to stop its second wave. Japan\u2019s Island, <strong>Hokkaido<\/strong>, is a living example. First, it set an example for other parts of Japan by observing strict lockdown that virtually eliminated coronavirus. As the island was reopened, second wave followed that forced it into lockdown again.<\/p>\n<p>Other than curve flattening, a <strong>heat-wave<\/strong> is touted an important factor that could dry out coronavirus, but there is no evidence to suggest that it does. Consider this turns out to be true, what will happen after summer? Another option could be developing <strong>herd immunity<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h5>\u201cWhat is Herd Immunity?\u201d, I here you ask?<\/h5>\n<p>Well, herd-immunity is the level of resistance in a population that determines an immunity-stat for people living in the country under examination. However, immunity only works out <strong>if<\/strong> 60% of the country\u2019s population is infected. In Pakistan\u2019s case, that\u2019s almost 120 million precedented cases. Another theory predicts the importance of <strong>peak<\/strong> in any mathematical plot. A peak determines the maximum outcome for a <strong>cause<\/strong>, before an <strong>effect <\/strong>is introduced to lower the curve.<\/p>\n<p>Sounds boring, doesn\u2019t it? Well, the <strong>effect<\/strong> I mention here is either a <strong>vaccine<\/strong>, or an unprecedented <strong>natural evolution<\/strong>. In medical terms, science is making rapid advances. New medications and treatments are being developed and introduced at a rapid pace.<\/p>\n<p>But, we can better take advantage of these advances by taking <strong>evolution<\/strong> into account. Like all biological systems, both disease-causing organisms and their victims <strong>evolve<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>While coronavirus has evolved to the extent where general mutation is difficult to navigate, who is to say that the human cells wouldn\u2019t evolve to fight the thing that threatens its existence?<\/p>\n<h4>The First Recipient | Coronavirus Vaccine<\/h4>\n<p>Well, the first recipient will be the people of the country that manufactures the vaccine, right?<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-expand=\"600\" class=\"lazyload size-full wp-image-1953 aligncenter\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 750 500'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/syringe-audenz-vaccine-scaled-e1581064642905.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s just say a country makes the <strong>COVID vaccine<\/strong>; what next? Simple; this may follow other countries who\u2019re either rich enough to bid high (as in the case of <strong>PPEs<\/strong>) or the ones vulnerable enough to necessitate urgency on humanitarian grounds. To you, which scenario seems the most possible outcome?<\/p>\n<p>You can ask around, speculate into bliss, give in to emotions and scream your mind out, but no one can correctly predict the <em>end<\/em> of Coronavirus.<\/p>\n<h4>Tackling Fear | Moving Towards The End<\/h4>\n<p>If we are not prepared to fight fear and ignorance as actively and as thoughtfully as we fight any other virus, it is possible that fear can do terrible harm to most people, even in places that never see a single case of infection during an outbreak. And a fear epidemic can have far worse consequences when complicated by issues of race, privilege, and language.<\/p>\n<p>Doesn\u2019t this offer you another food for thought?<\/p>\n<h4>Embracing The Truth | A United Front Against COVID-19<\/h4>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-expand=\"600\" class=\"lazyload size-full wp-image-1952 aligncenter\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 900 600'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/img_133085_pandemicsend_shutterstock_bg.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"600\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It is impossible for the human tongue to recount any awful truth. The truth hurts the most, hence I\u2019ve played this article on the emphasis of truth, rather a speculative hodgepodge to ease the holds that bind your soul.<\/p>\n<p>In theory, a plague follows after pandemics end. Pakistan is trying its best to survive COVID-19 and its effects. The virus will go away, but only if you stand together as a nation and obey all regulations imposed by our government.<\/p>\n<p>Godspeed, and Goodluck!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Historians say, that an infectious outbreak can conclude in more ways than one. But for whom does it end, and who gets to decide? When will Coronavirus End in Pakistan? Also Read: Making Cloth Masks At Home A Little History Lesson | The Pandemic Timeline Theory As the human history has defined age and obscurity [&hellip;] <a class=\"g1-link g1-link-more\" href=\"https:\/\/propakistani.pk\/how-to\/when-will-coronavirus-end-in-pakistan\/\">More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":1950,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[329],"adace-sponsor":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1947","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-health","8":"tag-when-will-coronavirus-end-in-pakistan"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>When Will Coronavirus End In Pakistan - How To<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Do You want to know when the Coronavirus will end in Pakistan? 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