Pakistan

Powerful Monsoon Rainfall Predicted Across Pakistan

According to the Met Office, monsoon currents from the Arabian Sea are continuously penetrating the upper parts of the country.

Moist currents from the Bay of Bengal are likely to intensify from 17th August. A westerly wave is currently affecting the upper parts and is likely to strengthen from 17th August. Under the influence of these meteorological conditions, rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls) is expected in Islamabad, Kashmir, upper Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Gilgit-Baltistan from 14th to 17th August.

Kashmir/ Gilgit-Baltistan

Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls) is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) from 18th to 21st August, while rainwind/thunderstorms (with isolated heavy falls) are expected in Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar) from 18th to 21st August, with occasional gaps.

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Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa

Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, and Karak from 18th to 21st August. Scattered rainwind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is also likely in Bannu, Lakki Marwat, Waziristan, Tank, and Dera Ismail Khan from 18th to 21st August with occasional gaps.

Punjab/Islamabad

Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Mianwali, Khushab, Sargodha, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad, and Sahiwal from 18th to 21st August with occasional gaps. Scattered rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is also likely in D.G. Khan, Bhakkar, Layyah, Multan, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Rajanpur, and Rahimyar Khan from 18th to 21st August.

Balochistan

Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Qilla Saifullah, Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Kech, Gawadar, and Panjgur from 18th to 22nd August.

Sindh

Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Tharparker, Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Shaheed Benazirabad, Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Sajawal, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Khairpur, and Jacobabad from 18th to 22nd August with occasional gaps.

Possible Impacts and Advice:

  • Heavy rains may generate flash floods in local nullahs/streams of Chitral, Dir, Swat, Shangla, Mansehra, Kohistan, Abbottabad, Buner, Charsadda, Nowshera, Swabi, Mardan, Murree, Galliyat, Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Northeast Punjab, and Kashmir from 15th to 21st August, while flash flood also in hill torrent of Dera Ghazi Khan and eastern parts of Balochistan from 18th to 21st August.
  • Heavy falls may cause urban floods in low-lying areas of Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Lahore, Sialkot, Peshawar, and Nowshera from 15th to 21st August.
  • Landslides/mudslides may cause road closures in the vulnerable hilly areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, Murree, Galliyat, and Kashmir during the forecast period.
  • Heavy falls/windstorms and lightning may damage weak structures like the roof/wall of Kacha houses, electric poles, billboards, vehicles, and solar panels, etc., during the forecast period.
  • Public, Travelers, and tourists are advised to avoid unusual exposure to vulnerable areas to avoid any untoward situation and keep updated about the latest weather conditions.

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Published by
Sher Alam