The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has dismissed circulating claims on social media predicting an “extremely cold winter” in Pakistan, calling them scientifically baseless and misleading.
In an official clarification, the PMD stated that such reports are not supported by its seasonal forecast or by global climate data. According to the department’s Winter Outlook for December to February, weather models suggest near-normal to slightly below-normal rainfall and slightly above-normal temperatures across most parts of the country.
The PMD noted that while brief cold spells may occur due to western disturbances, there is no evidence to support predictions of a record-breaking or exceptionally harsh winter this year.
Meteorological analyses indicate that a weak to moderate La Niña phase is currently active over the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Historically, La Niña reduces the intensity and frequency of winter weather systems over South and Southwest Asia, including Pakistan. As a result, this pattern typically brings milder temperatures, fewer cold waves, and reduced snowfall and rainfall in northern and western regions.
The department advised citizens and media outlets to rely only on official forecasts available on the PMD’s website and verified communication platforms. It warned that spreading unverified weather claims can lead to unnecessary fear and misinformation.
Reaffirming its commitment, the PMD said it remains dedicated to providing accurate, evidence-based, and timely forecasts that meet World Meteorological Organization (WMO) standards to ensure public safety and national preparedness.