A series of massive oil market wagers worth nearly $7-10 billion were executed shortly before major military announcements linked to the US-Iran war since February 2026, an analyst representing a big US bank informed ProPakistani during the late hours of Friday.
These findings are based on several reports exposing billions of dollars in unusually accurate trades during live trading sessions around war-related announcements.
Sources said the activity extended across multiple countries and energy markets, including Brent and WTI crude, European diesel, and other US oil futures.
Several large trades were placed in concentrated blocks on specific trading days, frequently 10-20 minutes before announcements that later triggered sharp double-digit swings in oil markets.
Some of these bets were placed through newly created trading accounts that placed too much focus exclusively on Iran-war-related events. Some of these accounts recorded win rates of over 90 percent.
One of the largest transactions occurred on March 23 (Pakistan Day), when traders executed huge positions shortly before a statement by US President Donald Trump was posted announcing a delay in planned strikes on Iranian power and energy infrastructure thanks to mediation efforts by Pakistan.
At the time, earlier reports by Reuters and other publishers mentioned data from the London Stock Exchange Group, which showed traders accumulated positions totaling around 20,000 lots of Brent and WTI futures, alongside petrol and other contracts valued at approximately $2.2 billion.
The precision and timing of the trades have again intensified and are somewhere near $10 billion in the past 3 months, the source added.
So far, there has been no official communication issued by oil agencies like Saudi Aramco, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, PetroChina, Shell and TotalEnergies on this subject.
Regardless, the scale and consistency of the trades have revived social media debate over market transparency during periods of geopolitical tensions.