The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its World Economic Outlook Report, which exposes sharp differences in Pakistan’s economic growth targets and projections made by international financial institutions like the World Bank and the IMF itself.
IMF expects Pakistan’s economy to grow by 3.2 percent in the current fiscal year. In contrast, Pakistan has set an economic growth target of 4.2 percent for FY26, higher by 1 percentage point compared to the IMF’s estimate.
The Fund also revised its outlook downward, pointing to a 0.4 percentage point decline in gross domestic product (GDP) growth compared to its estimates issued in October 2025. Looking ahead, the lender projects Pakistan’s GDP growth to improve to 4.1 percent in FY27.
Meanwhile, the World Bank has estimated Pakistan’s economic growth at 3 percent for the current fiscal year and 3.4 percent in FY27. These figures are even lower than IMF’s projections as shown above.
Official data from the Ministry of Finance shows that GDP growth stood at 3.7 percent during the first quarter of the current fiscal year.